Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.004587 0.005083 0.005597 0.006169 0.006787 0.007432 0.008157
2025-01-12 0.003715 0.004406 0.005160 0.006041 0.007038 0.008128 0.009403
2025-01-19 0.003218 0.004012 0.004911 0.005997 0.007267 0.008697 0.010419
2025-01-26 0.002812 0.003662 0.004658 0.005896 0.007384 0.009101 0.011217
2025-02-02 0.002526 0.003420 0.004498 0.005874 0.007566 0.009560 0.012066
2025-02-09 0.002283 0.003206 0.004349 0.005842 0.007718 0.009969 0.012848
2025-02-16 0.002147 0.003114 0.004337 0.005970 0.008058 0.010604 0.013908
2025-02-23 0.001951 0.002925 0.004188 0.005908 0.008149 0.010925 0.014578
2025-03-02 0.001807 0.002794 0.004102 0.005918 0.008323 0.011346 0.015374
2025-03-09 0.001751 0.002779 0.004167 0.006125 0.008752 0.012094 0.016593
2025-03-16 0.001652 0.002696 0.004133 0.006192 0.008996 0.012605 0.017515
2025-03-23 0.001579 0.002643 0.004136 0.006306 0.009301 0.013197 0.018548
2025-03-30 0.001510 0.002596 0.004148 0.006441 0.009644 0.013859 0.019703
2025-04-06 0.001361 0.002419 0.003966 0.006293 0.009598 0.014002 0.020179
2025-04-13 0.001256 0.002302 0.003861 0.006249 0.009687 0.014323 0.020892
2025-04-20 0.001145 0.002165 0.003721 0.006145 0.009685 0.014516 0.021431
2025-04-27 0.001064 0.002072 0.003640 0.006122 0.009794 0.014859 0.022175
2025-05-04 0.000987 0.001980 0.003556 0.006088 0.009885 0.015175 0.022884
2025-05-11 0.000954 0.001960 0.003581 0.006220 0.010217 0.015833 0.024073
2025-05-18 0.000881 0.001865 0.003483 0.006157 0.010257 0.016077 0.024689
2025-05-25 0.000828 0.001802 0.003433 0.006167 0.010405 0.016475 0.025524
2025-06-01 0.000819 0.001818 0.003513 0.006381 0.010863 0.017323 0.027003
2025-06-08 0.000783 0.001782 0.003502 0.006450 0.011102 0.017858 0.028047